Posts

Trump’s Tariff Gamble: What It Means for India’s Economy?

Image
  The global economy is once again bracing for disruption. With Donald Trump returning to the forefront of American politics and hinting at a revival of his protectionist trade agenda, countries worldwide are preparing for a renewed era of tariffs and economic nationalism. For India—one of the fastest-growing major economies and a rising global trade partner—the implications of Trump’s tariff playbook are profound. This article explores Trump’s tariff strategy, its direct and indirect effects on India, and how New Delhi can turn potential headwinds into opportunities. Trump’s Tariff Legacy: A Quick Recap During his 2017–2021 presidency, Donald Trump introduced sweeping tariffs under the banner of “America First.” His administration levied duties on billions of dollars’ worth of imports—targeting China most aggressively, but also extending to steel, aluminium, and other products from traditional allies like the EU, Canada, and India. In 2018, the U.S. slapped 25% tariffs ...

Smartian Capital Financial Insights - Monthly Newsletter : August 2025

Image
 

Building Your Child’s Education Fund: A Smart Mutual Fund Guide (2025)

Image
India’s economy continues to be one of the fastest-growing in the world. Despite global uncertainties, the Indian stock market has shown remarkable resilience, with the Nifty 50 and Sensex touching new all-time highs in 2025. Let’s look at what’s driving this growth and what it means for investors like you.   🔍 Current Market Snapshot (as of July 2025): Nifty 50: ~25,204.10 ( ▲ ~0.48% YoY) as on 15 July 2025 Sensex: ~82,617.02 ( ▲ ~0.44% YoY) as on 15 July 2025 India’s GDP Growth (FY24-25): Estimated at 7.5% – among the highest globally Inflation: Currently around 3.34% – within RBI’s target FII Inflows: Foreign investors remain bullish on India 📊 Key Drivers Behind the Growth: Robust Domestic Consumption: The Indian middle class is growing, driving strong demand across sectors like FMCG, autos, and housing. Government Reforms: Policies like the PLI (Production Linked Incentive) scheme, Make in India, and infrastructure investments are...

Shining Bright: The Silver Story 2025. Silver Hits a 13-Year High — But Why?

Image
  🔧 Industrial Demand: The Underdog Story: Silver isn’t just for jewelry or safe-haven play—it’s essential in solar panels, electric vehicles, 5G electronics, and advanced medical devices . Solar Energy Boom: Each solar cell uses silver—a growing renewable-energy trend directly boosting industrial demand. Tech Revolution: As electronics get smaller and smarter, silver’s conductivity makes it critical. This dual role— investment metal and industrial workhorse—gives silver a rare long-term demand foundation.   📉 Dollar Weakness & Gold-Silver Ratio: As the dollar slides, hard assets like silver become more attractive. Historically, the gold-silver ratio averages around 70:1 — but current ratios near 100:1 suggest silver may have more room to rise as it catches up with gold. In other words: Technical + macroeconomics = a bullish setup . 📊 Potential Silver Target: $50+ by Year-End? Many analysts are eyeing a rebound to $40–$50/Oz , citing strong breakou...

RBI Slashes Repo Rate by 50 bps to 5.5%, Announces 100 bps CRR Cut to Infuse ₹2.5 Lakh Crore Liquidity

Image
  In a significant step toward supporting economic growth and ensuring sufficient liquidity in the financial system, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has announced a 50 basis points (bps) cut in the policy repo rate , bringing it down to 5.5% . Simultaneously, it has unveiled a 100-bps reduction in the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) , to be implemented in four tranches throughout the second half of 2025. The announcement was made by RBI Governor Sanjay Malhotra during the post-MPC press briefing on Friday, marking a shift in the central bank's monetary stance from ‘Accommodative’ to ‘Neutral’ . The twin measures aim to spur credit growth, revive investment , and bolster India’s GDP trajectory , especially in the backdrop of easing inflation. Monetary Policy Shift Backed by Cooling Inflation The decision to reduce the repo rate comes at a time when inflation has shown consistent signs of moderation . The Consumer Price Index (CPI) for April 2025 eased to 3.16% , comfortably within ...